10 Cash Flow Red Flags Every Hospitality Business Must Watch

cash flow cash flow forecasting Jun 19, 2025

Picture this: Your restaurant was packed last weekend. Your hotel rooms are mostly booked. Customers rave about your service.

So why does your bank account still feel empty?

Running a hospitality business is a high-wire act—where profit and cash flow often tell two different stories. It’s painfully common for thriving hospitality businesses to run out of cash because of hidden traps unique to the industry.

In this article, we’ll break down the 10 cash flow red flags that every hospitality entrepreneur should watch like a hawk—and how to steer clear of disaster.

Why Hospitality Cash Flow is So Tricky

Hospitality businesses juggle:

  • High fixed costs (rent, wages)

  • Thin margins

  • Seasonal fluctuations

  • Immediate cash outflows with delayed inflows

It’s a perfect storm where even profitable businesses can run out of cash.

10 Cash Flow Red Flags

1. High Seasonality

Summer might bring tourists flooding in. Winter might leave your tables empty.

Danger: Underestimating how long the low season lasts can wipe out cash reserves fast.

2. Slow Supplier Payments Catching Up

Delaying payments to food or beverage suppliers can buy time—but comes at a price.

Danger: Suppliers may cut you off, demand COD payments, or even sue. Suddenly, you’re out of stock and out of cash.

. Rising Wage Costs

Labor is often your biggest cost.

  • Minimum wage increases

  • Overtime from staff shortages

  • Training new hires

Danger: Even small labor cost jumps can eat into your cash cushion.

4. Food & Beverage Cost Creep

Your cost of goods sold (COGS) should stay consistent—but prices fluctuate:

  • Food inflation

  • Shrinkage and spoilage

  • Portion control slip-ups

Danger: A few percentage points higher in food cost can kill cash flow.

5. High Refunds or Chargebacks

Hospitality deals in events, group bookings, and reservations.

Danger: A wave of cancellations, especially in uncertain times, leads to sudden cash refunds you didn’t budget for.

6. Unplanned Maintenance or Repairs

  • Broken walk-in coolers

  • Plumbing disasters

  • HVAC failures during peak season

Danger: These emergency expenses can easily cost five figures—instantly draining cash.

7. Overleveraging During Growth

Opening a new location is exciting—but risky.

Danger: Debt repayments kick in immediately, while new revenue ramps slowly. Cash can evaporate during the gap.

8. Slow Receivables from Group or Corporate Clients

Corporate events, weddings, or large group bookings often pay on 30- to 90-day terms.

Danger: You’ve already paid for food, staff, and supplies—while waiting months to get paid.

9. Taxes & License Fees

Hospitality businesses face:

  • GST Sales tax

  • Income tax

  • Liquor license fees

  • Health permits

Danger: Missing a payment can mean stiff penalties—or even forced closures.

10. Overestimating Future Bookings

Optimism is powerful—but risky.

Danger: Spending today based on tomorrow’s bookings can leave you scrambling if those bookings don’t materialize.

Bonus Red Flag: Low Cash Reserves

If you’re running with less than 2–3 months of operating expenses in cash, you’re on thin ice. Hospitality is unpredictable, and even one bad month can sink your business.

How to Stay Ahead

Smart hospitality operators protect cash flow by:

✅ Building a rolling 12-week cash forecast
✅ Tracking actual vs. forecasted sales weekly
✅ Keeping reserves for emergencies
✅ Negotiating payment terms with suppliers
✅ Staying vigilant for creeping costs

Remember: Profit doesn’t pay the bills. Cash does.

What To Do Next

Whether you’re feeling the pinch or trying to plan your next big move, here’s how to take control:

🛠 Option 1: Do It Yourself
Grab our $47 Cash Flow Clarity Kit—a template, a training, and a guide to build your own forecast in under an hour.
 Get Instant Access

🤝 Option 2: Done For You
Let us build your 12-week forecast, flag the risks, and show you exactly where you stand. Delivered in 7 days.
 Book Your Forecast

Are you confident in your hospitality cash flow forecast? Drop a comment or reach out—we’d love to help you spot red flags before they become crises.

Find out more about how Chiefly can help you

Explore Chiefly Products

Stay connected with news and updates!

Join our mailing list to receive the latest news and updates from our team.
Don't worry, your information will not be shared.

We hate SPAM. We will never sell your information, for any reason.